Atlantic hurricane season throttles down, heads into final month

Historically speaking, the Atlantic hurricane season is through 92% of seasonal activity by Oct. 26. By the end of October most named storms have formed and nearly all major hurricanes have passed. Leer en españolNovember hurricanes aren’t exactly uncommon – they’ve happened on average about once every other year in the satellite era (since 1966) – but when they form, they tend to do so away from the U.S. and stay out to sea.As we discussed in Friday’s newsletter, November hurricane hits on the mainland U.S. are rare, having occurred only about once every 50 years on average.So it’s not a terrible surprise when forecast models grow increasingly quiet this time of year. Looking ahead over the next few weeks, the Atlantic basin will settle into a more winter-like pattern, with strong jet stream winds migrating southward through Florida and into the Gulf, Caribbean, and wider tropical Atlantic. As upper-level winds ramp up for the winter, the incidence of tropical contenders will quickly